Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000096 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000127 0.000136
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000150
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000086 0.000096 0.000107 0.000120 0.000136 0.000157
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000082 0.000091 0.000104 0.000119 0.000138 0.000164
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000076 0.000087 0.000099 0.000116 0.000137 0.000165
2025-02-02 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000119 0.000143 0.000177
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086 0.000102 0.000123 0.000151 0.000193
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000074 0.000086 0.000104 0.000127 0.000159 0.000210
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000109 0.000136 0.000175 0.000240
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000106 0.000134 0.000174 0.000244
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000102 0.000130 0.000171 0.000243
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000102 0.000131 0.000176 0.000256
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000067 0.000082 0.000104 0.000136 0.000187 0.000282
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000101 0.000135 0.000188 0.000292
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000131 0.000185 0.000294
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000096 0.000129 0.000184 0.000298
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000057 0.000071 0.000092 0.000124 0.000179 0.000292
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000092 0.000127 0.000186 0.000315
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000094 0.000131 0.000197 0.000349
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000095 0.000135 0.000208 0.000387
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000145 0.000231 0.000464
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000056 0.000072 0.000097 0.000142 0.000228 0.000467
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000094 0.000137 0.000222 0.000459